The US Open 2009 draw

When I first saw this draw I couldn't believe it was for real and I'm not just saying that as a Nadal fan. I mean look at this, it's got to be one of the most difficult draws ever.
http://www.usopen.org/en_US/scores/draws/ms/r1s2.html

Nadal's draw has Gasquet in the first round, Possibly Keifer in the second, Almagaro and Ginepri both lurking in the third round, a possible meeting with Ferrer in the fourth and Berdych or Tsonga in the quarters, with Murray in the semis and Federer in the finals.

Now of course, that's the worst case sinereo but still, that's incredibly hard. Federer, on the other hand has a very easy draw. No tough opponents until Hewitt in the third round and that's really just about it, except for a possible run in with Soderling or Blake in the fourth round and Davydenko in the quarters. Novak Djokovic has Ljubicic in the first round and is in the same quarter as Roddick, same half as Roger. Murray has Del Potro in his quarter and will face Gulbis in the first round.

Based on these draws, I think Roger has a great chance of making the finals, even if he doesn't play his best tennis he should still be able to get there. Rafa's been struggling to get back into his rhythm and based on the hard draw I wouldn't be surprised to see him upset earlier in the tournament. Murray, has Del Potro in his quarter and Djokovic has Roddick. These guys will have to go through each other to get to the semis. That's good for Roger, his biggest competition will be eliminating itself. In fact the more I think about it the more I like Roger's chance of claiming his sixth US Open title. We'll see what happens but for right now I'm going with Roger to win the Open.