Monday, January 18, 2010

Davydenko won't win the Australian Open

No doubt, you've heard that Davydenko, has been playing outstanding tennis as of late. He's beaten Nadal and Roger, twice in the last month, he's won 3 consecutive tournaments and played some of his best tennis while doing it. So then why do I say that he has no chance? Well, here's a few reasons:

1. Never been past the semi-finals of a major before.

2. Never beaten Roger or Nadal at a grand slam tournament and let's face it. Roger, always packs his A game at the majors. Lots of players have beaten him in the smaller tournaments, like Karlovic, Benneteau, and Simon, but beating him at a major is something entirely different. Not to mention Davydenko, is scheduled to meet Federer in the quarters and will have to end his streak of 22 straight major semi-finals.

3. Davydenko, is a cold weather guy. He was born in the Ukraine and currently lives in Russia. He's not going to want any part of the Australian summer, with practice sessions and matches in the 90-100 degree range.

Davydenko, is a great player and he's kept himself solidified in the top 10 for almost every week of the last 4 and a half years. He's capable of winning a major but I don't think it's likely to happen and he's definitely not the favorite. Maybe, I'm wrong and he'll pull off an upset victory over Roger but with a 2-12 head to head and Roger's consistency in reaching the later rounds of a major tournament, the odds are stacked heavily against him.

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